The Rise of Skywalker box office results: predictions and expectations — Page 17

Author: Rodney-2187
Time: 18-Dec-2019 6:38 AM
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FINAL LIST:

User	Opening	Domestic	Worldwide
Ryan-SWI	$130M	$350M	$750M
Cthulhunicron			$850M
voltwaffle	$144M	$400M	$860M
Maaga	$199M	$450M
rocknroll41	$175M	$500M	$975M
StarkillerAG	$200M	$500M	$900M
DrDre	$180M	$540M	$1.2B
yotsuya	$240M	$630M	$1.4B
act on instinct	$217M	$645M	$1.3B
LexX			$1.31B
ChainsawAsh	$225M	$650M	$1.525B
oojason	$250M	$685M	$1.65B
DominicCobb	$200M	$700M	$1.4B
Mavimao		$702M
Depheros	$242M	$720M	$1.54B
Broom Kid	$220M	$735M	$1.4B
mykyta-R4	$255M	$740M	$1.75B
Outboundflight	$240M	$750M	$1.625B
Rodney-2187	$230M	$750M	$1.5B
Force-Abel	$260M	$770M	$1.7B
V.I.N.Cent	$245M	$790M	$1.7B
dgraham414	$300M	$800M	$1.7B
JawsTDS	$290M	$820M	$2.1B
Omni		$859M	$1.8B
klawrence123	$260M	$870M	$1.8B
Hal 9000	$275M	$900M	$1.9B

Author: oojason
Time: 18-Dec-2019 6:58 AM
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Well in to Rodney-2187 for compiling & updating all the predictions, Rogue Leader for kindly & generously offering up some prizes, Dre for creating the thread, and also to everyone taking part.

Good luck 😃

A little patience goes a long way on this old-school Rebel base. If you are having issues finding what you are looking for, these will be of some help…

Welcome to the OriginalTrilogy.com | Introduce yourself in here | Useful info within : About : Help : Site Rules : Fan Project Rules : Announcements
‘How do I do this?’ on the OriginalTrilogy.com; some info & answers + FAQs - includes info on how to search for projects and threads on the OT•com

A Project Index for Star Wars Preservations (Harmy’s Despecialized & 4K77/80/83 etc) : A Project Index for Star Wars Fan Edits (adywan & Hal 9000 etc)

… and take your time to look around this site before posting - to get a feel for this place. Don’t just lazily make yet another thread asking for projects.

Author: Rodney-2187
Time: 18-Dec-2019 7:12 AM
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I was happy to do it. I hope it adds a little more fun to an already great time for Star Wars fans. Everyone enjoy the movie and hey, let’s be careful out there. MTFBWY!

Author: Broom Kid
Time: 18-Dec-2019 11:56 AM
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That big fat 56% on Rotten Tomatoes may not make much of a difference on the opening weekend, but I’m starting to wonder if the legs are gonna be a lot shorter than expected.

Author: act on instinct
Time: 18-Dec-2019 1:02 PM (Edited)
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I have a bad feeling about this…

Really though, willing to guess that score will make its way over the line to “fresh” by the end of the weekend.

“The ability to destroy a planet is insignificant next to the power of the Force.” - DV

Author: Hal 9000
Time: 18-Dec-2019 1:03 PM (Edited)
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Broom Kid said:

That big fat 56% on Rotten Tomatoes may not make much of a difference on the opening weekend, but I’m starting to wonder if the legs are gonna be a lot shorter than expected.

Oh, my…

If that’s the critical score, we’re in trouble.

My stance on revising fan edits.

Author: Broom Kid
Time: 18-Dec-2019 1:41 PM
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We’re in trouble!

Even if it noses above 60% by this Friday (which is possible, no doubt) that would still make it the 2nd worst reviewed Star Wars film on RT. Just above The Phantom Menace, which only sank to rotten status thanks to the 3D re-release giving critics a second shot at appraising it with 10+ years of hindsight.

If that re-release hadn’t happened, this would likely be the worst reviewed Star Wars film on that site. (well, not counting The Clone Wars, directed by Dave Filoni)

Whether that affects the legs, who knows. This holiday season is still almost perfectly primed for a very long, record-breaking run for a movie that really keys into public sentiment in a big way. But I don’t know if Rise of Skywalker ended up being that movie. It might have the runway paved and only jog halfway down it.

Author: NeverarGreat
Time: 18-Dec-2019 1:43 PM
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I think it was 54 or something just a little while ago, so it’ll probably go higher. Still, not surprising for JJ and his apparent inability to tie a bow on his own mystery box.

You probably don’t recognize me because of the red arm.
Episode 9 Rewrite, The Starlight Project (Released!) and ANH Technicolor Project (Released!)

Author: Maaga
Time: 18-Dec-2019 3:57 PM
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It’s currently at 59%. Interesting. I wasn’t expecting this much critical backlash. From fans or otherwise. Apparently apathy isn’t the issue.

Author: Mavimao
Time: 18-Dec-2019 4:11 PM
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After seeing it, I’d give it a 75%. It does some stuff fine, other ideas are clunky. But it’s not a trainwreck.

I came out of RotS completely deflated but came out of this one going “Ok. Ok. Not bad.”

What I’m saying is: give it a chance.

What’s the internal temperature of a TaunTaun? Luke warm.

Author: Broom Kid
Time: 19-Dec-2019 1:13 AM
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The Rotten Tomatoes number has become its own narrative. That’s… not good news.

It’s time to inform the Senate that our ability to clear $200 million opening weekend has diminished.

Author: Maaga
Time: 19-Dec-2019 3:01 AM
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Broom Kid said:

The Rotten Tomatoes number has become its own narrative. That’s… not good news.

It’s time to inform the Senate that our ability to clear $200 million opening weekend has diminished.

I sincerely doubt this movie won’t make at least $200m opening weekend. I mean, there’s barely any competition.

Author: OutboundFlight
Time: 19-Dec-2019 11:03 AM
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Maaga said:

Broom Kid said:

The Rotten Tomatoes number has become its own narrative. That’s… not good news.

It’s time to inform the Senate that our ability to clear $200 million opening weekend has diminished.

I sincerely doubt this movie won’t make at least $200m opening weekend. I mean, there’s barely any competition.

NOOOO! EVERYBODY GOTTA WATCH CATS NOW!!! 🐈

Maul- A Star Wars Story

Author: NeverarGreat
Time: 19-Dec-2019 11:10 AM
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I don’t know about anyone else, but I’m going to watch both. On the one hand, a film so horrifying in conception and execution that I will question my very existence, and on the other, Cats.

You probably don’t recognize me because of the red arm.
Episode 9 Rewrite, The Starlight Project (Released!) and ANH Technicolor Project (Released!)

Author: Broom Kid
Time: 19-Dec-2019 11:11 AM
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Maaga said:

I sincerely doubt this movie won’t make at least $200m opening weekend. I mean, there’s barely any competition.

I don’t disagree, I just wanted to indulge a little prequel memery 😃

Author: DrDre
Time: 19-Dec-2019 11:16 AM
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NeverarGreat said:

I don’t know about anyone else, but I’m going to watch both. On the one hand, a film so horrifying in conception and execution that I will question my very existence, and on the other, Cats.

LOL! Very aptly put!

Author: Hal 9000
Time: 19-Dec-2019 12:56 PM
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NeverarGreat said:

I don’t know about anyone else, but I’m going to watch both. On the one hand, a film so horrifying in conception and execution that I will question my very existence, and on the other, Cats.

Lol

My stance on revising fan edits.

Author: orchidal
Time: 19-Dec-2019 4:11 PM
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orchidal said:

tree fitty

sorry if there’s a rule against quoting oneself but after seeing the film I firmly stand by this domestic haul projection
RIP

Author: Broom Kid
Time: 19-Dec-2019 7:13 PM (Edited)
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Day-of-projections now between $160-180.

Rocknroll41 & Dr. Dre looking pretty good right about now.

Author: oojason
Time: 19-Dec-2019 8:19 PM (Edited)
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For those interested - an article on projected takings for TROS from the ‘Box Office Pro’ website…

‘Weekend Forecast: What to Expect from Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker‘s Domestic Run as It Now Tracks for $160-190M Launch’:-

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-forecast-what-to-expect-from-star-wars-the-rise-of-skywalkers-domestic-run-as-it-now-tracks-for-160-190m-launch

Broom Kid said:

Day-of-projections now between $160-180.

Rocknroll41 & Dr. Dre looking pretty good right about now.

That is a very low figure mate 😉

(sorry - it had to be done 😃)

A little patience goes a long way on this old-school Rebel base. If you are having issues finding what you are looking for, these will be of some help…

A Project Index for Star Wars Preservations (Harmy’s Despecialized & 4K77/80/83 etc) : A Project Index for Star Wars Fan Edits (adywan & Hal 9000 etc)

… and take your time to look around this site before posting - to get a feel for this place. Don’t just lazily make yet another thread asking for projects.

Author: Dak Ralter
Time: 19-Dec-2019 9:53 PM
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I’m not expecting too much but there’s a drive-in movie theater near me so I’ll be sure to see it there.

Author: Broom Kid
Time: 20-Dec-2019 1:49 AM
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Haha, either way I’m going to be wrong (being wrong on the internet never hurts anywhere near as bad as people seem to think it will. I’ve gotten a TON of practice anyway, LOL).

Because according to Deadline - this is doing Thursday preview numbers similar to The Last Jedi.
https://deadline.com/2019/12/star-wars-rise-of-skywalker-opening-weekend-box-office-cats-bombshell-1202814594/

Author: Broom Kid
Time: 20-Dec-2019 11:54 AM
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Official Thursday preview number: $40 mil.
https://twitter.com/ERCboxoffice/status/1208059178566082560

So, unless Saturday/Sunday overperforms, this will likely be a $185-195mil opening weekend.

Author: Maaga
Time: 20-Dec-2019 12:32 PM
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Broom Kid said:

Official Thursday preview number: $40 mil.
https://twitter.com/ERCboxoffice/status/1208059178566082560

So, unless Saturday/Sunday overperforms, this will likely be a $185-195mil opening weekend.

Dr. Dre, good luck! 😉

Author: RogueLeader
Time: 20-Dec-2019 12:46 PM
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Well if it does get fairly close to Dre’s predictions I think that it will bring up some interesting discussion about Dre’s original post about Google search rates being somewhat predictive!