Sure, an unexpected health crisis can change that person’s mind, but does it change anyone else’s mind? Back in the late 1990s, a friend of mine’s wife got cancer – his insurance immediately dropped them. They were able to get into one of those “high risk pools” that the republicans keep touting (they’re not new, they’ve been around), which at least allowed her to get care. However, their premiums were $1600 per month, with tens of thousands in copays and deductibles. By the time she finally succumbed about 10 years later, he was left with over $500,000 in debt. At his income level, I don’t think he will ever be able to pay this off.
When I mention this to my Trump supporting friends, of course they say how sad that is, how tragic. But again, they don’t want to have to pay extra because of someone else’s problems, that would be redistribution of wealth.
As for polls that say people want ACA to continue, I’m skeptical. I’d have to see how the poll was worded – if it’s a choice of simply repealing it, sure I might agree. But if there is a replacement that removes the mandate (which ACHA seems to be), I think most people who voted for Trump would be in favor of it. The ACA was wildly unpopular just a year ago.