2nd Weekend is looking to land somewhere around 75-76mil.
With that sort of turnout for the 2nd weekend, chances are pretty good this stops around Rogue One’s total. Whether its more or less depends a lot on that 3rd weekend drop, and if the weekdays hold somewhat steady, or continue to decline. (It’s also possible the actuals for this weekend are lower than 75-76… today’s totals seem to be DECLINING from yesterday’s. Which is a very bad sign)
it’s been great seeing more now accepting the numbers you’ve always stuck by
As one who pushed back on those numbers, I still don’t think the pushback was out of bounds. Anticipation WAS higher for the film than those numbers were suggesting right up until the first reviews started dropping, and only started to settle in around those numbers after it became clear to general audiences that the quality of the film wasn’t up to the modern era’s standards (whose low point was Solo and whose high point was The Last Jedi).
The numbers as posted earlier in the thread were, I think it’s safe to say, crafted with the assumption the film wasn’t going to be the worst reviewed film Star Wars film in the last 20 years. Had this film delivered on the promises made in either TFA or TLJ (or optimally, both, which wasn’t impossible, btw) I don’t think those numbers would have borne out as accurate. It took the movie being a giant mess for those numbers to finally fit.
Also - looking at international numbers, I should specify: Barring a further fall-off in audience engagement, “Stopping around Rogue One’s total” refers to domestic. It’s still pretty possible it doesn’t make a billion worldwide as international audiences aren’t responding very well either.