http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=4819153

13 of ESPN's writers with HOF votes weighed in on how they will vote next time. Interestingly, the numbers are seven no and six yes. I would have expected more no than that.

Here's something from the article I hadn't considered regarding his walk totals:

Jerry Crasnick
2010 vote: No

<snip>

His big calling card, power, was almost certainly enhanced by his steroids use, and he drew a lot of his walks because pitchers were scared to death to face him.

The big reason for the yes votes seems to be the assumption that most of the elite players from that era were dirty, and we have to judge them all the same. Even if you buy that argument, it's hard to apply it to a one trick pony (as Crasnick calls him) like McGwire. I'd be more likely to vote for A-Rod, who is much more well-rounded (BA, steals, defense, etc.).

Dumbest argument? Tim Kurkjian:

Tim Kurkjian
2010 vote: Yes

<snip>

and 12 All-Star selections -- no one makes 12 All-Star teams without going to the Hall.

Uh, you want to vote for him in part because the fans voted him to an exhibition game? Especially one based on barely more than half the season?