Well, I wouldn't go that far. My reasoning is this: open a flyer for an electronics store. They are all HD tv's. The dinky 19" $300 sets? They are flat-planel 16x9 HD or HD-ready. Standard-def 4x3 TV's practically are not sold anymore. So pretty much anyone who buys a TV from now on will be ready to hook up a high-def player.

Whether that player is BLu-ray or HD-DVD depends on if they both survive past 2009. But probably they will, and with the marketplace being upgraded in hardware the way it is, a lot of people will jump in and give it a shot.