I can? Ok...
The PS3 will probably sell due to one solid good reason. The inner-city ghetto.
Think about it. PS2 was marketed with games like Grand Theft Auto as well as a "built in" dvd player. I have several friends in inner Minneapolis/StPaul who still use their PS2 for dvds almost as much as they play games on them. They won't care about any differences between Blu-Ray and HD-DVD. All they know is "PS3=Gaming/Movies." And the games will look a little bit better to them on their 36" tube tvs.
Will the loss of exclusivity hurt of the GTA franchise hurt Sony? Not at all. The game is still going to be coming out for the PS3. If it had become exclusive to the Xbox 360, then yeah, it would have hurt a lot.
Another factor why PS3 will do pretty well is the Madden license. Madden=Football, in their minds. Never mind the fact that the ESPN 2K series was noticeably better every single year, that Madden hasn't made a decent football game since they jumped onto the PS2, and that the last decent Madden game was Madden '99...Madden=Football. While these points are arguable, Madden is still a HUGE drawing factor for the PS2. Check the sales figures.
Now, referring to the "PS3 HATING" part of this thread...I sorta have this feeling that Sony needs to apologize not only to me personally but to the entire gaming community. Reasons? 1- crappy load times on PS1, 2- ripping off Nintendo on analog control, 3- ripping Nintendo off on all that oldschool R&D they did together, 4 - SquareSoft, 5 - Utterly destroying Dreamcast, 6- ripping Nintendo off again with rumble feature, 7- packaging the most basic DVD player into the PS2 when the industry as a whole wasn't ready, 8- ripping Nintendo off again with tilt function, 9- the weird buying frenzy of the PS2 launch, and 10- Blu-Ray.
I might be able to come up with more...and I realize how stupid it is of me to even think all this, but still...it almost feels like I've been personally insulted by Sony on numerous occasions. I ain't an idiot, and they treat us like them.
Thoughts?