Interest in home media dwindling…? What do you mean?
Maybe not for us types, but people certainly aren’t buying blu rays at the rate they were say 10 years ago, it’s all about streaming now for the majority. If they’re gonna sell some big £200+ boxset with all the bells and whistles it would probably make sense to do it in 2027 instead of waiting until 2033, because the demand might not be as high then.
Oh, you mean physical media as separate from streaming home media. Got it.
Yes, Blu-Ray sales have fallen drastically, and you are probably right that they will fall further before 2033. Though, I would just point out that there is probably a major difference in sales/interest in any average movie that you may as well stream, and a 50th anniversary set of the most iconic trilogy ever made. The people interested in buying the latter may remain interested despite getting most of their other media through streaming.