I think the people who are insistent on not seeing TROS, myself included, would say that they WERE hardcore fans. How good The Mandalorian may or may not be is pretty irrelevant for me since I won’t be seeing it for quite some time. I don’t have the money right now for Disney Plus and I’m too engrossed in my hype for COIE. The only way I see TROS in theatres is if my dad is extremely insistent.
Back on topic, I’m not changing my prediction quite yet. I haven’t heard anything super concrete about sales yet. The only thing I’ve heard is that TROS outsold Endgame in the first hour, which means nothing since Endgame crashed practically every site when tickets went on sale and some sites were offline for hours afterwards.