Of course the rebels will win. Episode VIII had some “refreshing twists” but ultimately the story it sets up is literally the one where the outcome is incredibly predictable for IX
- First Order loses.
- Kylo Ren dies/is turned (probably dies not to be called RotJ rehash).
It’ll be a pleasant surprise if they come up with something really new, and I’d be impressed that they had the guts to do something new, and that they managed to think of something new.
It would be interesting if in IX that Kylo wins and kills Rey and destroys the Resistance and becomes a new Sith lord or something.