I don’t want to sound rude, because I really like Bill Hunt, but I don’t get what authority he has regarding this. He seems convinced that it won’t happen this year because of the “news” about the negative being conformed, which I thought that we knew since 2006, but he’s also assuming that no work has been done on that.
How rude!
But yeah, what he claims as evidence for his thesis is entirely un-convincing.