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Are movies dumber? Are they just CGI popcorn fests with no plot or character? It's fair to argue that there are still many intelligent films being made, even if they aren't huge hits ("The Hurt Locker" comes to mind) but if we accept the premise that the top grossing films influence what other sorts of films get made, what kind of trends are seen when we examine the data.
I've selected the top 10 grossing films for a random sample of years between 1986 and 2009.
1986
1 Top Gun
2 Crocodile Dundee
3 Platoon
4 The Karate Kid Part II
5 Star Trek IV: The Voyage Home
6 Back to School
7 Aliens
8 The Golden Child
9 Ruthless People
10 Ferris Bueller's Day Off
1990
1 Home Alone
2 Ghost
3 Dances with Wolves
4 Pretty Woman
5 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
6 The Hunt for Red October
7 Total Recall
8 Die Hard 2: Die Harder
9 Dick Tracy
10 Kindergarten Cop
1993
1 Jurassic Park
2 Mrs. Doubtfire
3 The Fugitive
4 The Firm
5 Sleepless in Seattle
6 Indecent Proposal
7 In the Line of Fire
8 The Pelican Brief
9 Schindler's List
10 Cliffhanger
1996
1 Independence Day
2 Twister
3 Mission: Impossible
4 Jerry Maguire
5 Ransom
6 101 Dalmatians (1996)
7 The Rock
8 The Nutty Professor (1996)
9 The Birdcage
10 A Time to Kill
2001
1 Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
2 The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring
3 Shrek
4 Monsters, Inc.
5 Rush Hour 2
6 The Mummy Returns
7 Pearl Harbor
8 Ocean's Eleven
9 Jurassic Park III
10 Planet of the Apes (2001)
2005
1 Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith
2 The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
3 Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
4 War of the Worlds
5 King Kong
6 Wedding Crashers
7 Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
8 Batman Begins
9 Madagascar
10 Mr. & Mrs. Smith
2007
1 Spider-Man 3
2 Shrek the Third
3 Transformers
4 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
5 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
6 I Am Legend
7 The Bourne Ultimatum
8 National Treasure: Book of Secrets
9 Alvin and the Chipmunks
10 300
2009
1 Avatar
2 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
3 Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
4 The Twilight Saga: New Moon
5 Up
6 The Hangover
7 Star Trek
8 The Blind Side
9 Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel
10 Sherlock Holmes