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Could they have REDACTED make a REDACTED based on REDACTED??? - Minor TLJ Spoiler

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CP says " the odds of finding an exit are 14283 to 1"*

This would mean he needs to know how many tunnels/branches of tunnels there are and how many exits there are. It is inconceivable that he would know either data point unless he had a map. And if he had a map…

Sure it was a joke - but why have a logic-based robot make a nonsensical comment.

  • paraphrasing the quote
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Minor Spoiler

I think he’s not talking about the chance of finding an exit at the end of a randomly selected tunnel in this specific cave, but about the chance of being in a cave with an uncharted secondary exit. Basically, he knows of 14284 (or a multiple X of that number) cases in which a group of people were in a similar cave with the only known entrance blocked, and only in one (or the same X as before) of the cases, they found another exit.

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