To say she can’t possibly win is silly. Anyone with 100% name recognition and tons of money has the possibility to win. I wouldn’t think she’s the favorite but of course she’d have a chance.
On 538’s podcast yesterday they reranked their likely Dem nominees for 2020 based on this Orpah “news.” Nate Silver placed her 5th, ahead of Doug Jones and Bernie Sanders.
Sorry but I trust Nate Silver more than you.
5th likeliest is not the same as winning.
Well yeah Ric, but 5th likeliest is also not the same as 5th place. Irrelevant point.
And last I checked, no one thought Trump would actually win against Hillary, even the day of the election. Not even 538. So I’ll take those predictions with a large grain of salt.
They gave Trump a 35-40% chance of winning. Most other places (NYT inlcuded) gave him <10% chance. And they were pretty much right on the national vote. They did a lot better than most.