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Post #1091345

Author
CatBus
Parent topic
Politics 2: Electric Boogaloo
Link to post in topic
https://originaltrilogy.com/post/id/1091345/action/topic#1091345
Date created
19-Jul-2017, 2:44 PM

This is why Trump is absolutely never going under ~29% approval, and very likely never going under ~33% among voters.

only 45% of Trump voters believe Donald Trump Jr. had a meeting with Russians about information that might be harmful to Hillary Clinton […] 32% say the meeting didn’t happen and 24% say they’re not sure.

So, with some extrapolation based on Trump’s 46% of all voters, that’s about 14% of voters who have already actively decided that denying reality is the way to go, and another 11% who would like to hear what the alternate-reality people have to say before they make up their minds on the whole reality thing. Together, that’s 25% that IMO are so deep in the tank for Trump they’ve grown gills, and they’re never coming out (because that “not sure” is almost certainly a mere pretense of objectivity, like climate change denial). Presumably there are also some hardcore Trump supporters who function in the real world, but forgive absolutely everything because Trump put Gorsuch on the Supreme Court or spoke at their family cross burning ceremony, so I’m adding a conservative 4% for that, although I’d say it’s probably higher. Trump’s approval only needs to stay above ~32% for the Senate to stay safely in Republican control through 2022.